With the Oscars right around the corner, it’s only right to put my hat in the ring and make my predictions for this year and take an absolute shot in the dark to see who will be nominated for 2021’s top categories. For this year’s predictions, I’ll be including up to 3 movies for each category. The first will be who I think will ultimately win the award. The second is my personal opinion of who I think should win. For this selection, I will only be picking films that I saw. The final movie will be the extra nominee selection. Not a snub per say, but basically if the category had one more spot available, what film would I nominate. Once again these will only be films that I saw and they had to have had a realistic chance of being nominated in the first place. Without further ado, here are my official 2020 Oscar predictions.
Best Picture
What Will Win: 1917
What Should Win: 1917
Extra Nominee: Waves
Best Director
Who Will Win: Sam Mendes (1917)
Who Should Win: Sam Mendes (1917)
Extra Nominee: Josh and Benny Safdie (Uncut Gems)
Best Actor
Who Will Win: Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
Who Should Win: Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
Extra Nominee: Adam Sandler (Uncut Gems)
Best Actress
Who Will Win: Renee Zellweger (Judy)
Who Should Win: Renee Zellweger (Judy)
Extra Nominee: Awkwafina (The Farewell)
Best Supporting Actor
Who Will Win: Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Who Should Win: Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)
Extra Nominee: Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)
Best Supporting Actress
Who Will Win: Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
Who Should Win: Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)
Extra Nominee: Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)
Best Original Screenplay
Who Will Win: Bong Joon Ho, Jin Wan Han (Parasite)
Who Should Win: Rian Johnson (Knives Out)
Extra Nominee: Ben Safdie, Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein (Uncut Gems)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Who Will Win: Taika Waititi (Jojo Rabbit)
Who Should Win: Taika Waititi (Jojo Rabbit)
Extra Nominee: Destin Daniel Cretton, Andrew Lanham (Just Mercy)
Best Animated Feature
Who Will Win: Toy Story 4
Who Should Win: Toy Story 4
Extra Nominee: Abominable
Best Production Design
Who Will Win: Barbara Ling, Nancy Haigh (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Who Should Win: Barbara Ling, Nancy Haigh (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Extra Nominee: Claire Kaufman (Little Women)
Best Cinematography
Who Will Win: Roger Deakins (1917)
Who Should Win: Roger Deakins (1917)
Extra Nominee: Kyung-Pyo Hong (Parasite)
Best Costume Design
Who Will Win: Arianne Phillips (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Who Should Win: Jacqueline Durran (Little Women)
Extra Nominee: Julian Day (Rocketman)
Best Film Editing
Who Will Win: Andrew Buckland, McCusker (Ford v Ferrari)
Who Should Win: Andrew Buckland, McCusker (Ford v Ferrari)
Extra Nominee: Ben Safdie, Ronald Bronstein (Uncut Gems)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Who Will Win: Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan, Vivian Baker (Bombshell)
Who Should Win: Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan, Vivian Baker (Bombshell)
Extra Nominee: Janine Rath, Heba Thorisdottir (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Best Sound Mixing
Who Will Win: Stuart Wilson, Scott Millan, Mark Taylor (1917)
Who Should Win: Stuart Wilson, Scott Millan, Mark Taylor (1917)
Extra Nominee: Tom Johnson, Juan Peralta, John Pritchett (Avengers: Endgame)
Best Sound Editing
Who Will WIn: Oliver Tarney, Rachael Tate (1917)
Who Should Win: Alan Robert Murray (Joker)
Extra Nominee: Phillip Stockton, Eugene Gearty (The Irishman)
Best Visual Effects
Who Will Win: Guillaume Rocheron, Greg Butler, Dominic Tuohy (1917)
Who Should Win: Dan Deleeuw, Matt Aitken, Russell Earl, Dan Sudick (Avengers: Endgame)
Extra Nominee: Christopher Townsend, Daniel Sudick (Captain Marvel)
Best Original Score
Who Will Win: Hildur Gudnadottir (Joker)
Who Should Win: Thomas Newman (1917)
Extra Nominee: Daniel Pemberton (Motherless Brooklyn)
Best Original Song
What Will Win: I’m Gonna Love Me Again (Rocketman)
What Should Win: Into the Unknown (Frozen II)
Extra Nominee: Speechless (Aladdin)
Best Documentary Feature
What Will Win: American Factory
What Should Win: American Factory
Extra Nominee: The Biggest Little Farm
Best International Feature
What Will Win: Parasite
What Should Win: Parasite
Extra Nominee: N/A
Best Animated Short
What Will Win: Hair Love
What Should Win: Hair Love
Extra Nominee: N/A
Best Documentary Short
What Will Win: Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re a Girl)
What Should Win: N/A
Extra Nominee: N/A
Best Live Action Short
What Will Win: Sometimes, I Think About Dying
What Should Win: N/A
Extra Nominee: N/A
Overall Totals (Who Will Win With at Least 2 wins)
1917: 6 wins
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: 3 wins
Joker: 2 wins
Parasite: 2 wins
Overall Totals (Who Should Win With at Least 2 wins)
1917: 6 wins
Joker: 2 wins
Jojo Rabbit: 2 wins
Little Women: 2 wins
Extra Nominations (Minimum 2 Extra)
Uncut Gems: 3 nominations
Just Mercy: 2 nominations
So there you have it. Some of the smaller categories are always a bit of a crapshoot and there’s a very solid chance I am wrong in a lot of these categories, but at the end of the night, I believe 1917 will walk away with both the most wins, the biggest win of the night, and end up winning 6 of the 10 categories it is nominated for. If I had my way, 1917 would end up the big winner of the night and Uncut Gems would be nominated for something, but I have no say so it’s just opinion at this point. Now for the fun stuff. How many of next year’s Best Picture nominees can I get right 1 year in advance? I’ll list my 10 below knowing there will probably only be 8 or 9, but I want to look back at this a year from now and either pat myself on the back for doing a good job or laugh at how wrong I was (probably the latter). So, here we go. Time to announce my way-too-early 2021 Best Picture, Director, and Acting Predictions.
Best Picture
Macbeth
Let Them All Talk
Nightmare Alley
Good Morning, Midnight
West Side Story
The Last Duel
The Woman in the Window
The French Dispatch
Ammonite
The Last Thing He Wanted
Best Director
Joel Cohen (Macbeth)
Steven Soderbergh (Let Them All Talk)
Guillermo del Toro (Nightmare Alley)
George Clooney (Good Morning, Midnight)
Steven Spielberg (West Side Story)
Best Actor
Denzel Washington (Macbeth)
Bradley Cooper (Nightmare Alley)
George Clooney (Good Morning, Midnight)
Ansel Elgort (West Side Story)
Adam Driver (The Last Duel)
Best Actress
Meryl Streep (Let Them All Talk)
Cate Blanchette (Nightmare Alley)
Rachel Zegler (West Side Story)
Amy Adams (The Last Thing He Wanted)
Kate Winslet (Ammonite)
Best Supporting Actor
Lucas Hedges (Let Them All Talk)
Matt Damon (The Last Duel)
Timothee Chalamet (The French Dispatch)
Willem Dafoe (The Last Thing He Wanted)
Robert Pattinson (Tenet)
Best Supporting Actress
Frances McDormand (Macbeth)
Felicity Jones (Good Morning, Midnight)
Saorise Ronan (Ammonite)
Abigail Breslin (Stillwater)
Octavia Spencer (The Witches)
And that’s a wrap. Some of these seem like a pretty safe and other seem to be more on the unknown/stretch side, but hopefully all of them are at least competitive enough where if they don’t get nominated, at least they’ll be in contention. Only time will tell to see how right these initial predictions will be.